Research and analysis

Make sure you have the facts when you decide Scotland鈥檚 future - supporting tables (Appendix 1)

Updated 21 August 2014

These tables accompany the reference document for 鈥楳ake sure you have the facts when you decide Scotland鈥檚 future鈥�.

1. Table 1, footnote 13

Scotland UK
Total Spending (millions) 65,205 701,681
Total OnShore revenue (millions) 47,566 580,293
Total Offshore revenue (geographic share) 5581 6632
Spending per head 12,270 11,010
Onshore revenue per head 8950 9110
Total revenue per head 10,000 9210
Deficit -2270 -1800

Source for data in table:

2. Table 2, footnote 19

2013 annual figures Exports to the rest of the UK Exports to the rest of the world
Value (拢 million) 50,557 21,387
% of total exports 70 30

Source for data in table: , Supplementary Tables, Table 9

3. Table 3, footnote 29

GVA Growth (%) Scotland UK
2011 Q1 0.1 0.5
Q2 -0.1 0.4
Q3 0.1 0.7
Q4 0.6 0
2012 Q1 -0.4 0
Q2 -0.4 -0.3
Q3 0.3 0.8
Q4 0.9 -0.1
2013 Q1 0.2 0.5
Q2 0.9 0.7
Q3 0.5 0.9
Q4 0.2 0.7
2014 Q1 1.0 0.9

Sources for data in table:

4. Table 4, footnote 30

Country OECD GDP growth forecast for 2014
UK 3.2%
US 2.6%
Canada 2.5%
Germany 1.9%
Japan 1.2%
France 0.9%
Italy 0.5%

Correct on 21 July 2014

Source for data in table:

5. Table 5, footnote 31

Country IMF GDP growth forecast for 2014
UK 2.9%
US 2.8%
Canada 2.3%
Germany 1.7%
Japan 1.4%
France 1.0%
Italy 0.6%

Correct on 21 July 2014

Source for data in table:

6. Table 6, footnote 33

Forecasting body Per cent of GDP 拢 billions 拢 per head
Scottish Government a 3.2 5.5 1,020
Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS) b 5.2 8.9 1,660
Citigroup c 5.5 9.5 1,760
Centre for Public Policy for Regions (CPPR) d 5.5 9.5 1,760
Memo: UK deficit in 2016-17 2.4 44.5 680

Source for data in table: Scotland analysis: Fiscal policy and sustainability, HM Government, May 2014, Box IC, page 27 Sources for the estimates are:

a Most pessimistic scenario (鈥楽cenario 2鈥�) in Scottish Government (2013), 鈥淪cotland鈥檚 Future: Your guide to an independent Scotland鈥�.

b IFS (2014) 鈥淭he next five years look better, but tough choices remain for Scotland鈥�.

c Citigroup (2014) 鈥淯pdate on Scotland鈥檚 Fiscal Deficit鈥�.

d CPPR (2014), 鈥淐PPR Briefing Note 鈥� Fiscal implications for an independent Scotland when assuming that it takes on a low, or zero, share of existing debt鈥�.